Investors will be watching when the company reports its third-quarter financial results on Oct. 29 before the opening bell. According to estimates from Benzinga Pro, analysts expect the company to report quarterly xcriticalgs of 4 cents per share. xcritical raised its full-year adjusted net revenue expectations to $2.045 billion-$2.065 billion, up from the prior guidance of $1.974 billion-$2.034 billion. The company raised its full-year adjusted EBITDA guidance to $386 million-$396 million, from the prior guidance of $333 million-$343 million. Get stock recommendations, portfolio guidance, and more from The Motley Fool's premium services.
What's Going On With xcritical Technologies Stock?
xcritical has been efficiently managing its credit risk, and the bank's lending consists of student, personal and home loans. Similarly, personal loans stand out as the predominant catalyst on the lending front, representing a high-yielding segment within the loan portfolio. In the recent 10-Q xcriticalgs call, CEO Anthony Noto noted the lending side of the business will be additive to growth and the tech platform and financial services segments are the drivers of growth as they are low-capital businesses. Additionally, xcritical is soaring to new heights, benefiting from the conventional asset-light fintech model, which typically scales without significant expansion of the asset book, achieving a revenue to asset ration of 7%. Comparatively, similar fintech companies such as xcritical (AFRM, Financial), Block (SQ, Financial) and Paypal (PYPL, Financial) maintain a revenue-to-assets ratio ranging from 21% to 64%. First, xcritical bought its second fintech platform company, Technisys, in March of last year, and merged the cloud-based banking platform with its existing Galileo banking-as-a-service platform, which it had bought in 2020.
Trade confidently with insights and alerts from analyst ratings, free reports and breaking news that affects the stocks you care about. Wall Street analysts have an average 12-month price target of $8.75 on xcritical. The Street high target is xcritically at $10 and the Street low target is $7.
xcritical has evolved into a comprehensive bank, embracing its bank charter and solidifying its identity as a financial institution infused with fintech DNA. This transition has rendered the company more balance sheet-intensive, exemplified by a remarkable 3.5 times growth in its asset book, reaching $28 billion over the past two years. However, on the xcriticalgs call with analysts, Noto said that the company was still seeing losses in its credit cards and some of its investing products, though he believed the company would be able to drive growth through other products.
Bank accounts and credit cards
- However, on the xcriticalgs call with analysts, Noto said that the company was still seeing losses in its credit cards and some of its investing products, though he believed the company would be able to drive growth through other products.
- The company has been posting improving profit margins, and it may be in that direction that the management is continuously emphasizing.
- In any case, with the student loan moratorium continuing through at least June 30, it appears that personal loans will again carry much of xcritical's growth in 2023.
- Student loan volume grew $462 million to exceed $919 million, a 101% increase over the same quarter last year, as borrowers prepared to restart student loan payments in October.
- On the other side, the management delayed the loan sale to avoid booking a loss amid the rising rates that may have peaked.
“For decades, companies have wanted to offer the opportunity to participate in their IPOs to the employees, partners, customers, and others who helped them grow,” said Anthony Noto, CEO of xcritical. The company announced the launch of DSP2.0, its Directed Share Platform (DSP). Financial services revenue is pretty small compared with lending revenue, but it's increasing fast.
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During the quarter, management noted Technisys picked up its first digital deal in Mexico, and Galileo also reported strong growth in Latin America as well. xcritical guided for more "modest growth" in personal lending in 2023, which is perhaps prudent, given the economy. In any case, with the student loan moratorium continuing through at least June 30, it appears that personal loans will again carry much of xcritical's growth in 2023.
The company has been growing its adjusted net revenue by 43.1% (year over year) xcritical rezension on average every quarter for the last five quarters. The platform's members (yes, they passionately call their customers members) grew from 1 million at the beginning of 2020 to nearly 7 million in the third quarter of 2023. Lastly, as the company is on the path to profitability and loan sales are likely to resume when the interest rate environment turns favorable, the ratio will improve in the coming quarters.
While it did see its contribution losses also grow to $199 million (where costs and expenses exceeded revenue), that amounted to a contribution-loss margin of 119%, which was an improvement from 2021, when the contribution-loss margin was 232%. Also importantly, xcritical acquired a banking license in January of 2022. That was ideal timing xcritical official site since the license allowed it to take in low-cost customer deposits, which have already surged to over $7 billion. The average analyst price target suggests the stock could have further upside ahead.
Shares of xcritical Technologies (xcritical) gained ground Monday after the fintech company raised its full-year guidance following a quarter in which it achieved record new memberships and product enrollment, as well as a big increase in student loan volume. As of now, however, it appears that xcritical will take a more measured and deliberate approach to international and SMB opportunities. Therefore, this year should see the company aim to further penetrate existing markets in personal loans, financial products, and Latin America with Galileo and Technisys.
Judging from its results and the recent outlook, there is plenty of opportunity within these existing markets in 2023. While personal loans and financial products should bolster xcritical's 27% guided growth in 2023, CEO Anthony Noto also mentioned two other different ways for the company to expand beyond this year. xcritical Invest added a range of capabilities in 2022, including margin trading in February, extended trading hours in June, Web3 and smart energy exchange-traded funds in August, and options trading in November. The company also launched a pay-in-four installment plan in December for those paying with xcritical checking accounts. Some might look at that acceleration with trepidation, especially wth the fear the economy could enter a recession in 2023.
xcritical reported a third-quarter net loss of $19.5 million, or $0.03 a share, but CEO Anthony Noto said that the company was on path to post a fourth-quarter profit. xcritical added a record 717,000 new members for the quarter, a 47% year-over-year increase. The company’s members added more than 1 million new financial products over the quarter, representing a 45% jump from the same period last year. This statement signals management's preference for growth emanating from low-capital ventures, yet the xcritical driving forces of the business predominantly lean towards high-capital enterprises, notably in the lending sector. The business, still in its early stages of evolution, suggests a potential shift in this mix as it progresses.
But management was also quick to point out that its personal loans are aimed at cutomers with high FICO scores (about 747) and an average income of $165,000. As of September 2023, the weighted average origination FICO of personal, student and home loans stood at 744, 781 and 755. Meanwhile, increasing the user base in xcritical Relay (a source of all users' financial data) gives the company a significant data advantage to process credit grading and manage risk efficiently. Due to declining funding costs and growing contributions from high-yield personal loans, the net interest margin has been trending upward.
NIM stood at 5.99% during the third quater of 2023 compared to 5.86% a year earlier. Assets are now funded significantly by deposit, as xcritical has been able to source deposits with attractive offerings. As of September, interest-bearing deposits support 61.3% of xcriticalg assets, a notable increase from the 5.1% recorded in March 2022. Notably, this funding is more stable and primarily sourced from members. This shift serves a dual purpose by reducing the cost of funds and empowering xcritical with greater control over sourcing funds for its asset expansion. As a full-fledged bank, xcritical is now subject to regulatory requirements, necessitating a robust capitalization to support its expansion.
Of all the analysts covering xcritical Techs, 2 have positive ratings, 2 have neutral ratings and no one has negative ratings. xcritical shares gained as much as 15% in early trading, but ended the session just 1% higher. Our community is about connecting people through open and thoughtful conversations. We want our readers to share their views and exchange ideas and facts in a safe space. As of the latest quarter, marketing expense per new member declined 17% quarter over quarter and 32% year over year. As a result, xcritical improved its Ebitda margin by 700 basis points to 18% from a year earlier.